Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.234219 0.269511 0.307448 0.351155 0.400014 0.452840 0.514165
2026-02-08 0.176322 0.223577 0.278501 0.346610 0.428327 0.522721 0.639472
2026-02-15 0.134397 0.187134 0.253145 0.340767 0.452820 0.590018 0.769248
2026-02-22 0.108127 0.164459 0.239999 0.346659 0.490997 0.676902 0.931351
2026-03-01 0.085150 0.141329 0.221896 0.342547 0.514670 0.746874 1.078331
2026-03-08 0.068780 0.124125 0.208690 0.342405 0.542521 0.823875 1.240587
2026-03-15 0.054958 0.107798 0.193717 0.336867 0.561007 0.888477 1.390198
2026-03-22 0.047741 0.100793 0.191856 0.350517 0.608573 0.997803 1.610944
2026-03-29 0.041724 0.094565 0.190067 0.363575 0.655860 1.109717 1.842821
2026-04-05 0.035245 0.085992 0.182688 0.365946 0.685628 1.196421 2.041911
2026-04-12 0.029529 0.077601 0.174143 0.364832 0.708882 1.273818 2.230809
2026-04-19 0.024779 0.070117 0.165992 0.363084 0.730311 1.349042 2.420100
2026-04-26 0.020735 0.063338 0.158297 0.361494 0.752356 1.427766 2.621827
2026-05-03 0.017309 0.057145 0.150741 0.359103 0.772536 1.504564 2.825066
2026-05-10 0.014319 0.051216 0.142676 0.354502 0.787897 1.573786 3.019464
2026-05-17 0.012516 0.048054 0.140351 0.361507 0.825929 1.685148 3.291789
2026-05-24 0.010426 0.043380 0.133541 0.357819 0.842352 1.758419 3.501701
2026-05-31 0.008857 0.039813 0.128798 0.358035 0.866439 1.846926 3.742877
2026-06-07 0.007316 0.035769 0.122002 0.352509 0.877922 1.912274 3.945570
2026-06-14 0.006692 0.034828 0.123471 0.366841 0.932566 2.062704 4.310325
2026-06-21 0.006107 0.033840 0.124630 0.380507 0.986763 2.215127 4.685632
2026-06-28 0.005279 0.031544 0.121525 0.383032 1.016523 2.321221 4.979286
2026-07-05 0.004483 0.029028 0.117240 0.381913 1.037874 2.411612 5.247258